I found my initial estimate of the drag coefficient of a dirt bike may have been a little high. I have read that motorcycles have drag coefficients in the range of 0.6 to 1.0. Sport bikes have drag coefficients of around 0.6. Dirt bikes would be on the higher end. I will now use 0.95 for my estimate.**

You can calculate theoretical top speed for any bike, but you have to do a couple important estimations, namely, the projected frontal area of the bike and rider and the drag coefficient. You can use a frontal picture of yourself seated on your bike and a ruler to help estimate area by scaling everything.

The drag force on a bike & rider is:

F = (1/2)(rho)(V²)(A)(Cd)

Where
F is drag force (Newtons)
rho is air density (kg/m³), about 1.2 kg/m³ at sea level
V is velocity (m/s)
A is projected frontal area of bike and rider
Cd is drag coefficient (dimensionless). A dirt bike will be on the higher end of range of typical drag coefficients for motorcycles (I will use 0.95). Things like fenders, shrouds, helmets without full face shields, loose jackets, etc. all create little pockets that can increase the drag coefficient. For example, an anemometer with hemispherical cups spins because the drag coefficient for air blowing into the cup is about 1.4 and the drag coefficient for air blowing around the outside of smooth hemisphere of the cup is about 0.4.

The power required to maintain a given speed is the drag force, F, multiplied by the velocity.

P = F · V
P = (1/2)(rho)(V³)(A)(Cd)

Where
P is power (Watts).
745.7 W = 1 horsepower

For example, I will use my bike:

My XR350 can produce about 30 or so horsepower (although Honda claims 31.8 horsepower), or about 22,371 Watts. Horsepower at the rear wheel would be the best number to use, since this would take drivetrain friction out of the picture. I estimate around 0.7 m² projected area, and a drag coefficient of 0.95.

22,371 W = (1/2)(1.2 kg/m³)(V³)(0.7 m²)(0.95)
V = [(22,371 W)/(1/2 · 1.2 kg/m³ · 0.7 m² · 0.95)]^(1/3)
V = 38.27 m/s = ­85.6 mph (1 m/s = 2.2369 mph)

This means my bike should have enough power to propel me up to 38.27 m/s, which is 85.6 miles per hour. According to my shop manual, my engine produces peak horsepower at 7000 rpm. I need to gear my sprockets so that my engine's power peak at 7000 rpm will occur when the bike hits 85.6 mph in sixth gear. There is a gearing calculator in the tech section called Top Speed (or you can do it by hand):
Click here for link to working excel worksheet: Motorcycle Gearing Worksheet

Motorcycle Gearing Worksheet

 

Values (Enter)

Total Ratio

Min. Speed

Max. Speed

Speed at Max Power

Min. Speed

Max. Speed

Speed at Max Power

Chain size

Chain pitch mm

Chain pitch inch

Primary Drive Ratio

1.651

 

Gear

(MPH)

(MPH)

(MPH)

(KPH)

(KPH)

(KPH)

428

12.7

0.5

1st Gear Ratio

3.083

17.452

1st

9

35

30

0

56

47

520

15.875

0.625

2nd Gear Ratio

2.125

12.029

2nd

13

51

43

20

81

69

525

15.875

0.625

3rd Gear Ratio

1.666

9.431

3rd

16

65

55

26

104

88

530

15.875

0.625

4th Gear Ratio

1.333

7.546

4th

20

81

68

32

130

109

532

15.875

0.625

5th Gear Ratio

1.115

6.312

5th

24

97

82

39

155

131

630

19.05

0.75

Front Sprocket (Teeth)

14

3.429

Approx.

632

19.05

0.75

Rear Sprocket (Teeth)

48

Chain

Number

Chain pitch

15.875

Length

of links

Chain pitch and countershaft to rear axle distance can be in mm or inches,

Countershaft to rear axle dist.

630

1763.86

111.1

the chain length will be returned in the same units.

Shortest possible

620

1744.05

109.9

Longest possible

640

1783.67

112.4

NB. Chains always have an even number of links, bear this in mind when

Wheel Rim Size (Inches)

18

looking at the 'Approx. Number of links' figures. If necessary, adjust the

Tyre Width (MM)

120

Countershaft to rear axle dist.' figure until you're happy with the number of links.

Tyre Depth (%)

80

Engine Minimum RPM

2,000

Engine Maximum RPM

8,000

Ü Enter known values in the pink column. The yellow and blue values are calculated from the pink ones.

Maximum Power RPM

6,750



You can enter your rear tire outer diameter and transmission ratios. Then, the remaining variables that determine speed are sprocket gearing and engine rpm. For my bike, I would use 7000 rpm and work out what sprockets I needed to use to hit 85.6 mph at that engine speed in sixth gear. This should be a good starting point towards gearing the sprockets for maximum top speed capability. Minor changes in sprocket gearing, either up or down, will probably be needed for the very best speed.

As an alternative to make things quicker, here is chart I made showing Horsepower To Overcome Drag vs. Speed, at an air density of 1.2 kg/m³. Use the line that is the closest match for the product of your projected frontal area and drag coefficient, or interpolate for more accuracy:

http://www.4Strokes.com/images/forums/pics/drag.gif